Ege \u00dcniversitesi akademisyenlerinin geli\u015ftirdikleri projeler ulusal ve uluslararas\u0131 kurumlardan destek almaya devam ediyor. Bu kapsamda y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc Ege \u00dcniversitesi Fen Fak\u00fcltesi Astronomi ve Uzay Bilimleri B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00f6\u011fretim \u00fcyesi Prof. Dr. Esin Sipahi K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7\u2019\u0131n \u00fcstlendi\u011fi \u201c25. G\u00fcne\u015f Leke \u00c7evriminin ARIMA \u0130statistiksel Y\u00f6ntemi ve Veri Madencili\u011fi Y\u00f6ntemleri ile Tahmini\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 proje T\u00dcB\u0130TAK 1002-A kapsam\u0131nda desteklenmeye uygun bulundu. Bu proje \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ile mevcut g\u00fcne\u015f leke verileri \u00fczerine \u201cARIMA ve Veri Madencili\u011fi\u201d algoritma y\u00f6ntemleri uygulanarak 25. G\u00fcne\u015f \u00e7evrimine ili\u015fkin maksimum zaman\u0131, leke say\u0131s\u0131 parametreleri i\u00e7in istatistiksel de\u011ferlendirmeler yap\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n
Ege \u00dcniversitesi Rekt\u00f6r\u00fc Prof. Dr. Necdet Budak,\u00a0 Prof. Dr. Esin Sipahi K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7 ve proje ekibini makam\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131rlayarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 tebrik etti.<\/p>\n
Proje hakk\u0131nda bilgi veren Prof. Dr. Esin Sipahi K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7, \u201cG\u00fcne\u015f \u00e7evrimi, Yer \u00fczerindeki etkisi nedeniyle y\u00fczy\u0131llard\u0131r \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan bir olgudur. 1750\u2019li y\u0131llardan beri, G\u00fcne\u015f \u00fczerindeki lekeler g\u00f6zlemlenir, leke say\u0131lar\u0131 kaydedilir ve bu say\u0131lar\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00fczerine \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. Her bir \u00e7evrim \u00f6ncesinde, bilim insanlar\u0131 leke say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 farkl\u0131 y\u00f6ntemler kullanarak tahmin etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, \u00a0bu leke say\u0131lar\u0131 yani G\u00fcne\u015f etkinli\u011fi yaln\u0131zca G\u00fcne\u015f\u2019in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in de\u011fil, yer \u00fczerindeki elektrik, uydu, ileti\u015fim ve hatta insan sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 etkiledi\u011fi i\u00e7in de \u00f6zellikle incelenmektedir ve bu sekt\u00f6rlerde yap\u0131lan uygulamalarda G\u00fcne\u015f etkinli\u011finin \u00f6nceden tahmin edilmesi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemlidir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u201cG\u00fcne\u015f r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n\u0131n etkisi tehlikeli olabilir\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n G\u00fcne\u015f \u00e7evrimlerindeki leke say\u0131lar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bilgi\u00a0veren Prof. Dr. Sipahi K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7, \u201cG\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar bir\u00e7ok y\u00f6ntemle G\u00fcne\u015f \u00e7evrimlerindeki leke say\u0131lar\u0131 tahmin edilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f; maksimum leke say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu tarihler belirlenmek istenmi\u015ftir. \u0130\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz zamanda G\u00fcne\u015f\u2019in 25. \u00e7evriminin maksimum yapaca\u011f\u0131 zamana yakla\u015fmaktay\u0131z. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, farkl\u0131 y\u00f6ntemlerle elde edilen ve tutarl\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar veren y\u00f6ntemleri kullanmak bu konuda \u00f6nem arz etmektedir. Proje kapsam\u0131nda kullanaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z istatistiksel y\u00f6ntemler, farkl\u0131 disiplinlerdeki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarda da en \u00e7ok tercih edilen y\u00f6ntemlerdir. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ile getirilebilecek farkl\u0131 bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 ve yorum 25. \u00e7evrimin maksimum yapaca\u011f\u0131 tarihin daha b\u00fcy\u00fck hassasiyetle belirlenmesini sa\u011flayabilir\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n G\u00fcne\u015f r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n\u0131n etkisinden de bahseden Prof. Dr. Sipahi K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7, \u201cG\u00fcne\u015f aktivitesi g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde yer y\u00fczeyinde \u00e7ok etkili olmaktad\u0131r. Hem hava durumunun beklenmedik de\u011fi\u015fimi hem de G\u00fcne\u015f\u2019in flare aktivitesinden kaynakl\u0131 k\u00fctle at\u0131m\u0131 ile yere do\u011fru savrulan G\u00fcne\u015f r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n\u0131n etkisini t\u00fcm insanl\u0131k g\u00f6rmektedir. Bu durum her ne kadar g\u00f6rsel olarak \u015f\u00f6len gibi olsa da bir\u00e7ok alanda tehlike arz etmektedir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n bulgular\u0131 literat\u00fcrde \u00f6nemli bir yer te\u015fkil edecektir. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde uzay meteorolojisi olarak da ge\u00e7en uzay hava olaylar\u0131, uzay ortam\u0131ndaki zamana ba\u011fl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimlerin yer tabanl\u0131 teknolojik sistemlere ve insan ya\u015fam\u0131na olan etkilerini inceler. Uzay meteorolojisinde en \u00f6nemli etkiyi olu\u015fturabilecek kaynak G\u00fcne\u015f\u2019tir ve G\u00fcne\u015f aktivitesinin durumu, uzay \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 da olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkilemektedir. G\u00fcne\u015f s\u00fcrekli olarak iyonlardan olu\u015fan par\u00e7ac\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00fcne\u015f r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 olarak uzaya sa\u00e7maktad\u0131r. Y\u00fckl\u00fc par\u00e7ac\u0131klar\u0131n uzay ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczeyinde olu\u015fturdu\u011fu y\u00fcklenmeler ve daha y\u00fcksek enerjili par\u00e7ac\u0131klar\u0131n ara\u00e7 i\u00e7erisine kadar ula\u015fmas\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkiler. Bu sebeple G\u00fcne\u015f leke \u00e7evriminin etkisinin \u00f6nceden tahmin edilmesi \u00f6nemlidir. Ayr\u0131ca G\u00fcne\u015f leke \u00e7evrimi, sadece uzay havas\u0131n\u0131 etkilemekle kalmaz; Yer \u00fczerindeki bir\u00e7ok alan\u0131 etkileyebildi\u011fi gibi \u00f6zelikle de insan ya\u015fam\u0131 \u00fczerinde de etkisi b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr. Bu durum, bu alan\u0131n daha fazla ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurgulamaktad\u0131r\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n Y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc Ege \u00dcniversitesi Fen Fak\u00fcltesi Astronomi ve Uzay Bilimleri B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00f6\u011fretim \u00fcyesi Prof. Dr. Esin Sipahi K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7\u2019\u0131n \u00fcstlendi\u011fi. projede; Fen Fak\u00fcltesi \u0130statistik B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00f6\u011fretim \u00fcyesi Do\u00e7. Dr. Hayal Boyac\u0131o\u011flu ve Astronomi ve Uzay Bilimleri B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc Doktora \u00d6\u011frencisi Nurhan \u00d6zlem Kaya ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 olarak yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Ege \u00dcniversitesi akademisyenlerinin geli\u015ftirdikleri projeler ulusal ve uluslararas\u0131 kurumlardan destek almaya devam ediyor. Bu kapsamda…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[69,99,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bilim","category-egitim","category-gncl"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA.jpg",2550,1850,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-300x218.jpg",300,218,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-768x557.jpg",640,464,true],"large":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-1024x743.jpg",640,464,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-1536x1114.jpg",1536,1114,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-2048x1486.jpg",2048,1486,true],"newsphere-slider-full":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-1280x720.jpg",1280,720,true],"newsphere-featured":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-1024x743.jpg",1024,743,true],"newsphere-medium":["https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/EGE-HAYAL-BOYACIOGLU-NECDET-BUDAK-ESIN-SIPAHI-KILIC-NURHAN-OZLEM-KAYA-720x380.jpg",720,380,true]},"author_info":{"display_name":"Editor","author_link":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/author\/editor\/"},"category_info":"Bilim<\/a> E\u011fitim<\/a> G\u00fcncel<\/a>","tag_info":"G\u00fcncel","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19713"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19713\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19715,"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19713\/revisions\/19715"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.euegeajans.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}